Saturday, February 26, 2011

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The predictable failure of the democratic revolution in Libya

So far the Libyan events gave the image of a popular revolution without leaders, able to topple the government forces while demonstrating its ability to manage the city.
This is not to surprise because we have to admit, for example in the case of Algeria, the population demonstrated a remarkable ability to run the company despite the disorganizing action of a state whose role is too often more akin to that of a parasite and that of a facilitator and an organizer of the activity.
That said, whatever the outcome of the showdown between Colonel Qaddafi and his opponents, the Libyan people's revolution is already over. At least if I think the Time article I propose and based on an interview of the special correspondent of this magazine with a Libyan colonel who joined the opposition to the plan.
not need a decoder to understand that the military will continue, as in Egypt or Tunisia, although the circumstances are markedly different, to play a decisive political role. Thus understood by the United States. While the Colonel mentioned in the article seems to say that the revolution will of the people. Yes, but the promises as they say, are those who believe them. And nothing in the detail provided no basis for thinking about a real establishment of democracy in Libya: role of the army, tribal leaders, many dignitaries of the regime who defected, probably encouraged by promises made by the State Department in Washington.
It's the same methods advocated that do not seem to differ from those charged with Gaddafi: aerial bombings in urban areas, shelling ...
is a democracy in Iraq or the 'Afghan looming in Libya.

Waiting personally still have evidence that the army remained loyal to Mr Gaddafi has conducted air raids on cities. For now, there is nothing. After all, as stated in this article, and still denied by the colonel who is the subject, a former Libyan Minister went so far as to say that the Libyan army had atomic weapons and chemicals!
I almost forgot the mercenaries, Africans Please, therefore nothing to do with honorable "contractors" employed by tens of thousands by the U.S. in Iraq and Afghanistan!
lot of information then, but also disinformation whose intention is to demonize a Qaddafi certainly unsympathetic to justify all the options from the "international community" (ie ie NATO) as a function of the changing situation on the ground.

by Abigail Hauslohner / Benghazi, TIME (USA) translated from English by Djazaïri

C is based in a former defense Air that is in an area partially built in Benghazi and in darkness, Colonel Saad Tarek Hussein prepares the revolutionary forces for the ultimate battle. The Libyan dictator, Colonel Muammar Gaddafi, probably will fight to the death to keep control of his capital, Tripoli, if one believes the soldiers as the revolutionary militants. But the banners in the High Court in Benghazi saying: "Libya is one body, Tripoli is our heart. "The east is now under control of the opposition, but Libya will not know the division because, they say: the revolution will will not end before it arrives in Tripoli and the deposition of the dictator.
The release of Tripoli became the rallying cry in Benghazi, the second largest Libyan city. "We will never abandon Tripoli, shouted the imam leading the prayer is open at noon. In response, since the thousands of people gathered under a stormy sky was Mediterranean in chorus "God is great! "(See the photos released by the Benghazi Yuri Kozyra v).

For Colonel Hussein, sitting in his austere office in a base equipped with antiaircraft guns and plunged into darkness, the Libyan revolution is still mostly a popular revolution. But the army who joined the opposition - more than 10 000 men between Benghazi and the Egyptian border, he said - now have an important task at hand. "We try to meet as many men as possible in Benghazi and in other cities to prepare a force to march on Tripoli," he said.
Hussein is coordinating with other military officers, tribal sheiks and volunteers throughout the region, he said, to launch the final battle that many believe is necessary to overthrow a dictatorship that lasted 41 years. Already, says Hussein, 2000 armed volunteers, soldiers and reservists have reached the capital in small groups, the latter group arrived here Friday evening. Very soon, he said, there will be more.
But he stressed that this is not a power grab by the military. "It's an uprising of youth," he insists. "The battle between young people and the regime." "Only when Gaddafi has responded to their peaceful protests by force of violence," killing men in cold blood "that we we felt it was time to intervene, "he said. "These are the ones who started the revolution and we carry it out. "

And inevitably, the military will have a big role to play in the aftermath of the fall of Gaddafi. "We hope to have a democratic state, not a military state," said Hussein. "We are tired of the Warfare State. The army is there to protect the nation - not to govern. "
But to get there, the revolutionary forces will certainly seize the capital, ie cross the stronghold of what Gaddafi Sirte and neutralize the weapons more powerful forces loyal to Qadhafi and its mercenaries in Tripoli itself. These days, Hussein made appeals in the direction of Army officers and inhabitants of Sirte, which lies between Benghazi and Tripoli. "We do not treat them as they were before," he says, implying thereby inhumanly. "And we do not want to behave like killers. So we launched a call, a warning, so they leave us to move freely towards Tripoli. "

During the past week the revolutionaries of the claim is that Gaddafi has lost control of his country, piece by piece. Its strengths, diplomats, ministers and officials have left the field. He said the rebels are united and more determined to go through. "We are preparing and we will march on to bomb Tripoli Bab Bin Gashin," said Hussein, who refers to the bastion of Gaddafi in Tripoli where he thinks the head of state lies. "We have planes and pilots were instructed by Gaddafi to bomb Benghazi, but they refused and landed here safely. We have pilots who are willing to crash their planes into a suicide mission if necessary. "

The final intention is it to kill Qaddafi, as saying many impatient revolutionaries on the Mediterranean coast? Hussein looks over his reading glasses and smiled ironically: "We hope to take him alive. "
Friday evening, Gaddafi took another defiant speech before a crowd of supporters in Tripoli. He promised to "open the arsenals" and defeat his opponents. But Hussein did not have time to watch it because he was too busy to organize the day to come. "This is not a football game," he said. And he's not afraid of man from Tripoli.

Nobody expects to go away quietly Gaddafi. The forces that remain loyal to him are well equipped and the battalion Khamees her son has about 3,000 combatants of which about half are mercenaries, "said Hussein. On Thursday, the minister who resigned from the Justice Mustafa Mohamed Abd el-Jalil said) al-Jazeera that he believed that Qaddafi had nuclear and chemical weapons. Hussein is not worried. "There is no atomic weapons," he says with disdain. And the stock of chemical weapons that Gaddafi was so scared before? "All this equipment was removed when the agreement on Lockerbie," said Hussein, who recalls the 1998 attack against Pan Am flight 103 over the Scottish town of Lockerbie and the controversial decision in 2009 to repatriate Libyan sentenced for this crime and detained in a Scottish prison. "He thought that by buying the support of the United States at that time, they let him stay in power forever. "

Hussein laughs. "He had forgotten the Libyan people."

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